Categories
Corporate

Essar Group unveils $18 bn US steel expansion project

India’s Essar Group is set to make a major push into the US steel industry with an investment of around $18 billion in an integrated mining and steelmaking project spanning Minnesota and Iowa.

US President Donald Trump announced the project on September 28, highlighting it as a major investment in American steel production. The project is being developed through Essar’s US subsidiary, Mesabi Metallics, and will connect an iron ore mine in Minnesota with a large steel plant planned in Iowa.

The investment includes around $15 billion for the Iowa steel plant and about $3 billion for the Minnesota mining and pelletising operations. Together, the projects are designed to create an integrated domestic supply chain, from iron ore extraction to finished steel production.

The Iowa facility is planned to produce up to 10 million tonnes of steel annually once it reaches full capacity. Production is targeted to begin around 2030, subject to the completion of construction and other project requirements.

The planned facility will use direct-reduced iron and electric arc furnace technology. The process will allow iron ore pellets produced in Minnesota to be converted into steel at the Iowa plant, alongside the use of scrap steel.

Thousands of jobs expected

The project is expected to generate thousands of jobs during construction and operations.

Mesabi Metallics estimates that the Iowa steel project could create more than 6,000 construction jobs during its development. Once the facility becomes operational, around 1,750 permanent jobs are expected across engineering, technology, steelmaking and other specialised roles.

The Minnesota mining project will add further employment and economic activity. Essar has already invested billions of dollars in developing the iron ore project, which is located in the Mesabi Iron Range, one of the most important iron ore regions in the US.

The mine is expected to produce around 7.5 million tonnes of iron ore annually. Essar has described the development as the first new iron ore mine in the US in more than five decades.

The company plans to process the ore into pellets before transporting the material to the Iowa steelmaking facility. This integrated approach is intended to reduce dependence on imported raw materials and strengthen domestic supply chains.

Steel for key industries

The Iowa plant is expected to supply steel to several major industries, including automobiles, defence, shipbuilding, energy, infrastructure and electric vehicles.

Demand for domestically produced steel has increased as the US focuses on strengthening local manufacturing and reducing reliance on overseas supply chains. The Essar project fits into that broader push by linking domestic iron ore production with a new large-scale steelmaking facility.

The planned 10-million-tonne annual capacity would make the Iowa facility a significant addition to US steel production. The project could also support businesses involved in transportation, construction, engineering, equipment supply and other parts of the industrial supply chain.

Project comes amid higher steel tariffs

The Essar investment comes as the US administration continues to encourage domestic steel production and protect American manufacturers from imported steel.

The US has raised tariffs on imported steel and aluminium to 50%, increasing the cost of foreign steel and creating stronger incentives for companies to produce within the country.

The Iowa project has consequently attracted attention as an example of foreign investment supporting US manufacturing. The Trump administration has positioned such investments as part of its efforts to bring industrial production and jobs into the country.

There has been some variation in the investment figure reported around the announcement. While the overall project has been described as an approximately $18 billion investment, US officials have referred to the combined investment as around $17.5 billion. The difference appears to reflect how the investment components are calculated.

The Iowa steel plant itself accounts for about $15 billion, with the remaining amount linked mainly to the Minnesota mining and processing operations.

Essar expands US presence

The project marks another major step in Essar Group’s international expansion. Founded by brothers Shashi and Ravi Ruia, the group has interests across metals, energy and infrastructure.

Essar entered Minnesota in 2007 after acquiring Minnesota Steel and its iron ore assets. The company has since worked on developing the mining project and establishing an integrated steelmaking operation in the US.

The group already has significant experience in steel production, including its large manufacturing operations in Hazira, Gujarat. The proposed Iowa facility will give Essar a much larger manufacturing presence in the American market.

The company’s strategy is centred on creating an integrated operation rather than relying on separate suppliers for raw materials. Iron ore mined in Minnesota will be processed into pellets and then supplied to the Iowa facility for steel production.

Production targeted around 2030

The project will take several years to complete, with steel production expected to begin around 2030. Construction, infrastructure development and the completion of the Minnesota mining operations will be key stages before commercial production begins.

If completed as planned, the Minnesota-Iowa project will create a supply chain stretching from iron ore mining to finished steel. It is also expected to generate economic activity for contractors, suppliers, logistics companies and downstream manufacturers across the US Midwest.

For Essar, the investment represents a significant expansion into the American steel market. For the US, it adds planned domestic steelmaking capacity at a time when the country is seeking to strengthen manufacturing and critical industrial supply chains.

The $18 billion Essar US steel project will therefore be closely watched as construction progresses, with its scale, job creation and planned 10-million-tonne annual steel capacity making it one of the company’s biggest overseas industrial investments.

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Leaders

Trump-Xi dinner draws Musk, Cook, Altman

US President Donald Trump hosted Chinese President Xi Jinping at a White House state dinner, bringing together senior US officials, technology executives and some of the world’s most prominent business leaders. The September 24 dinner came during Xi’s three-day visit to Washington and followed talks between the two leaders on trade, artificial intelligence, Taiwan and other areas of tension.

The guest list stood out for the number of technology leaders in attendance. Tesla and SpaceX chief Elon Musk, Apple chairman Tim Cook and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman were among the prominent names at the dinner. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella and Google’s Sundar Pichai were also invited.

Musk and Huang were seated at the head table with Trump, Xi and their wives, Melania Trump and Peng Liyuan. AMD CEO Lisa Su and Cook were also among those seated close to the two presidents. The presence of leaders from companies at the centre of the global AI and semiconductor industries gave the dinner a strong technology focus.

The wider guest list included executives from finance, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, aerospace and consumer industries. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla, Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg and General Motors CEO Mary Barra were among the invited business leaders.

The dinner followed a day of meetings between Trump and Xi as Washington and Beijing sought to manage tensions in their relationship. Trade remains a major issue, with both countries dealing with tariffs, supply-chain concerns and restrictions affecting strategic industries.

Artificial intelligence was another important area in the discussions. The US and China are competing for leadership in advanced AI, while American restrictions on exports of high-end chips and technology to China remain a major point of contention. The presence of executives from Nvidia, AMD, Google, Microsoft, OpenAI and other technology companies underscored the business importance of those discussions.

The guest list also highlighted the growing role of private technology companies in US economic and strategic policy. AI companies and semiconductor firms have become increasingly important to questions involving national security, computing infrastructure and technology exports.

Chinese business leaders, however, were largely absent from the dinner. Xi’s delegation instead included senior government and economic officials, including Vice Premier He Lifeng, Commerce Minister Wang Wentao and other officials involved in trade and economic policy.

The difference in representation was notable. While more than 30 American business leaders attended, China’s delegation was dominated by government officials rather than corporate executives. Analysts cited by CNA said the absence of Chinese CEOs highlighted the different roles played by business and government in the two countries’ economic systems.

Trump’s dinner also carried considerable diplomatic symbolism. Xi’s visit was his first trip to Washington in more than a decade and marked the second meeting between the two leaders this year. Their discussions come as both governments attempt to stabilise relations while continuing to disagree over trade, Taiwan, technology and other strategic issues.

During the dinner, Trump described the visit as an honour and spoke about the long history of US-China relations. Xi said the two countries had reached a common understanding on several issues and called for both sides to act as responsible major powers.

The two countries also agreed to extend their existing trade arrangement by two months, while China would continue supplying rare earth materials to the US and current tariff levels would remain in place. The arrangement provides temporary continuity as negotiations continue.

The White House dinner therefore brought together two very different groups: senior Chinese political and economic officials and a large representation of America’s corporate leadership. The contrast reflected the broader nature of the Trump-Xi meeting, where diplomacy, trade policy and technology interests were closely connected.

The presence of Musk, Cook, Altman, Huang, Bezos, Zuckerberg, Nadella and Pichai also put the technology sector at the centre of attention. Their companies are directly affected by US-China trade policy, semiconductor restrictions and the global race to develop artificial intelligence.

While the dinner offered a high-profile display of engagement, several major issues between Washington and Beijing remain unresolved. The state dinner provided a setting for diplomacy and business visibility, but the longer-term direction of US-China trade and technology relations will depend on negotiations beyond the White House event.

 

Categories
Beyond

Trump predicts US gas prices could fall below $2

US President Donald Trump has predicted a dramatic fall in American gasoline prices, saying fuel could eventually become cheaper than $2 a gallon after what he described as a US victory in the war with Iran.

Trump made the claim as the Iran conflict continued to create uncertainty across global energy markets. He said oil prices would drop “precipitously” once the war was over and suggested that gasoline prices could first fall towards $3 a gallon before eventually slipping below the $2 mark.

The forecast is striking because US consumers are currently paying considerably more at the pump. Average gasoline prices have risen above $4 a gallon, meaning prices would have to fall by more than half for motorists to reach the level Trump has predicted.

The president has repeatedly connected the conflict with Iran to energy prices, arguing that a successful US campaign would eventually remove the supply risks that have pushed crude oil higher. He has also maintained that Iran must not be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon.

Trump’s comments come at a particularly sensitive time for the global oil market. Brent crude has been trading close to $100 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude has remained above $90. Traders have been closely watching developments in the Middle East because any disruption to oil production or transportation could have consequences far beyond the region.

One of the biggest concerns is the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman through which a substantial share of the world’s oil supply passes. Any prolonged disruption to shipping through the strait could tighten global supplies and push crude prices higher.

Iran has warned that attacks on its energy infrastructure could trigger retaliation against US interests and energy facilities in the region. The threats have added to concerns about oil tankers, production facilities and shipping routes becoming targets as the conflict escalates.

The US has also stepped up pressure on Iran’s oil trade. American officials have threatened action against vessels involved in transporting Iranian crude, increasing the risks for companies and countries involved in the region’s energy trade.

For oil traders, the biggest question is whether the conflict will ultimately reduce or increase supply risks. A settlement could have the opposite effect of an escalation. If fighting stops and shipping routes become safer, some of the geopolitical premium built into crude prices could disappear.

That could bring oil prices down and eventually provide relief to consumers. But reaching $2-a-gallon gasoline would require a much larger and more sustained decline.

Crude oil is only one part of the price motorists pay at petrol stations. Refining costs, transportation, taxes and regional market conditions also influence gasoline prices. As a result, even a sharp decline in crude prices does not automatically translate into an equivalent fall in retail fuel prices.

The current gap between Trump’s prediction and actual prices therefore remains substantial.

Still, cheaper energy has been a recurring theme in Trump’s economic messaging. Lower gasoline prices would directly reduce household expenses for American drivers and could also lower transportation and production costs for businesses. A sustained decline in energy prices could, in turn, help ease inflationary pressures.

The impact would extend beyond the United States. Global crude prices influence the cost of fuel, transportation and several industrial commodities in oil-importing economies such as India. A prolonged fall in international oil prices could reduce India’s crude import bill and provide some relief to inflation, while a sharp increase would have the opposite effect.

China and other major economies would also be affected because of their large energy requirements. Global demand is another important factor that will determine where crude prices head once the immediate geopolitical uncertainty fades.

The oil market has already shown that prices do not always move in a straight line during geopolitical crises. Supply concerns can push prices higher, but expectations of weaker demand, alternative supply routes and production from countries outside the Middle East can limit those gains.

That makes the timing of Trump’s forecast important. His below-$2 gasoline prediction depends on the Iran conflict ending in a way that allows oil supplies and shipping to normalise. It would also require sufficient global production and relatively subdued demand.

If the conflict instead expands to involve more oil facilities, tankers or critical shipping routes, crude prices could move sharply in the opposite direction. In that scenario, the prospect of gasoline below $2 would move even further away.

Trump’s statement is best viewed as a political and economic forecast rather than an indication of an imminent collapse in fuel prices. The US president is presenting cheaper gasoline as a potential benefit of ending the Iran conflict, but the energy market remains highly sensitive to events on the ground.

 

Categories
Beyond

Trump strikes nine more deals to cut drug prices

US President Donald Trump has reached new agreements with nine pharmaceutical companies as his administration steps up efforts to bring down prescription drug prices in the country.

The latest group includes India’s Sun Pharmaceutical Industries, along with Alcon, Astellas Pharma, BeOne Medicines, BridgeBio, CSL, Kyowa Kirin, Teva Pharmaceuticals and UCB. With these companies joining the programme, the number of drugmakers that have signed similar agreements with the Trump administration has risen to 26.

The deals are part of Trump’s Most Favoured Nation (MFN) drug pricing programme, which aims to make US medicine prices more closely match the lowest prices charged in other developed countries.

Under the latest agreements, the participating companies will provide medicines to state Medicaid programmes at MFN prices. The companies have also agreed to offer similar pricing for certain future medicines launched in the US.

The announcement is another step in Trump’s campaign against what he considers excessively high drug prices in the United States. Prescription medicines in the US have often cost considerably more than comparable medicines in other wealthy countries.

Trump has been using a combination of pricing pressure and trade policy to push pharmaceutical companies towards the new system. For drugmakers, agreeing to lower prices can help reduce the risk of tariffs and provide greater certainty about their business in the US market.

For India, the participation of Sun Pharma makes the latest development particularly important. The company is one of India’s largest pharmaceutical firms and has a significant business in the United States.

Sun Pharma has agreed to provide MFN pricing to state Medicaid programmes. The company has also agreed to apply the pricing approach to certain future innovative medicines launched in the US. In addition, it will contribute antibiotics to the US medical reserve.

The agreement also gives Sun Pharma relief from potential US tariffs on innovative pharmaceutical products for more than two years, according to details released following the deal. The US is an important market for Sun Pharma, making the agreement significant for the company’s international business.

The nine companies involved in the latest round are generally smaller or mid-sized pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms compared with some of the world’s biggest drugmakers that signed earlier agreements.

The latest deals also include commitments to increase pharmaceutical investment in the United States. The White House has said the nine companies together have pledged around $19.6 billion in US manufacturing investment. Some companies have also agreed to contribute pharmaceutical ingredients or medicines to US medical reserves.

The administration says the wider programme now covers a large share of the US branded drug market. The goal is to ensure that Americans do not continue paying substantially more for medicines than patients in other developed economies.

However, the actual impact on patients could vary.

The latest agreements are focused mainly on prices paid by Medicaid, the US government health programme for eligible low-income Americans. A lower Medicaid price does not necessarily mean that every American buying the same medicine through private insurance or directly at a pharmacy will immediately see the same reduction.

That distinction has led to questions from healthcare experts and consumer groups about how much of the promised savings will reach patients. Medicaid already receives substantial discounts on medicines, and critics argue that the government has not provided enough detail to determine the full impact of the latest agreements.

The administration, however, has presented the agreements as evidence that its pressure on pharmaceutical companies is working.

The deals are also important for the pharmaceutical industry because they could influence how companies price medicines globally. If US prices become more closely linked to prices in other countries, drugmakers may have to reconsider their pricing strategies across different markets.

 

Categories
Counterpoint

A licence to hack criminals could become a licence to hack competitors

For years, the standard advice to a company under cyberattack has been curiously one-sided: defend yourself, preserve the evidence, call the authorities — and do not strike back.

There were good reasons for that. Giving companies a licence to invade someone else’s computer systems risks hitting the wrong target, destroying evidence, violating another country’s sovereignty or turning a commercial dispute into something much more serious.

But there is another risk that has received rather less attention: what if the old rules simply leave the criminals with the advantage?

President Donald Trump’s administration has now taken a significant step towards answering that question. Under a presidential memorandum issued on August 12, vetted American companies will be allowed to participate in offensive cyber operations against foreign transnational criminal organisations.

That sounds, at first hearing, like the legalisation of corporate “hack back”. It is more constrained than that.

The operations are to be carried out under federal supervision. Participating companies must be vetted and contracted by the Justice Department or Department of Homeland Security. Individual operations require written approval. Companies may be required to maintain a bond or escrow of at least $1 million that can be forfeited for non-compliance.

Most importantly, the companies are not being handed a general licence to attack anyone they believe attacked them. They will act on behalf of, and under the authority of, the US government.

That distinction matters.

But so does the reason Washington believes such a program is necessary.

Cybercrime is no longer a peripheral law-and-order nuisance committed by clever teenagers in bedrooms. Large criminal networks now resemble multinational enterprises. They have specialists, infrastructure, customer-service operations, money-laundering networks and supply chains. Some sell ransomware as a service. Others run industrial-scale fraud centres.

The money involved is extraordinary. The FBI’s 2025 Internet Crime Report recorded more than one million complaints and reported losses exceeding $20 billion. Cyber-enabled fraud alone accounted for about $17.7 billion.

And the economics favour the attacker.

A criminal group may operate from a country unwilling or unable to arrest it. Its servers can be scattered across jurisdictions. Its members can hide behind layers of infrastructure, cryptocurrency wallets and stolen identities. By the time traditional international law-enforcement mechanisms begin moving, the criminals may have disappeared, reconstituted themselves under a different name or shifted their systems elsewhere.

A victim, meanwhile, is expected to remain almost entirely defensive.

Imagine a burglar repeatedly entering homes from a fortress across the border. The homeowners may install stronger locks, cameras and alarms. The police are allowed and empowered to investigate. Diplomatic requests can be sent to the country hosting the fortress. But nobody is permitted to disable the burglar’s getaway vehicles. That is roughly the imbalance Washington is trying to address.

The argument for using private cyber companies is also practical. Some of the world’s deepest knowledge of malicious networks does not reside solely inside intelligence agencies. It sits inside cybersecurity companies, cloud providers, telecommunications companies and specialist threat-intelligence firms that encounter attacks every day.

Indeed, government already relies extensively on private companies to detect, understand and contain cyber threats. The new policy extends that partnership from seeing the attacker towards, in carefully approved circumstances, disrupting the attacker.

The idea is not as radical as it sounds. Governments routinely use private capability to fulfil public objectives. Defence contractors build weapons and operate sophisticated systems. Commercial satellite companies provide imagery used for national security. Private logistics firms support military operations. Banks help governments detect and freeze illicit finance.

The important question has never been whether private expertise may serve the state. It is who controls its use. And that is where the Trump plan deserves support — provided its safeguards survive implementation.

There must be a bright line between a company defending its own interests and a company carrying out an operation authorised by the United States. The presidential memorandum explicitly attempts to draw one: approved operations remain under government operational control, and each package must receive written authorisation before action is taken.

There are also obvious dangers. Cyber attribution is notoriously complicated. A server used by a ransomware gang may actually belong to an innocent business whose system has been compromised. Criminal infrastructure can share networks with legitimate users. An operation aimed at disabling a criminal network might have consequences in a third country.

And cyber operations can escalate. Destroying a criminal server sounds uncomplicated until the server sits inside a country that regards the intrusion as an infringement of its sovereignty. Matters become even more delicate when criminals enjoy informal protection from officials or operate in the grey space between organised crime and state interests.

These are reasons for strict government control, however — not necessarily reasons for permanent passivity.

An uncomfortable assumption rests behind much of the opposition to offensive cyber action: that restraint by the victim produces restraint by the attacker. However, there is little evidence that criminals operate according to that bargain.

A ransomware gang does not stop because its target obeys international cyber etiquette. A fraud compound does not close because investigators are waiting for paperwork to travel through several jurisdictions. Criminal organisations exploit precisely the gaps between national legal systems.

Deterrence requires consequences. The US government has already demonstrated how public-private cooperation can make criminal operations harder. During a recent US Justice Department “Disruption Week”, government agencies worked with private companies to disrupt scam accounts and financial infrastructure associated with transnational fraud operations.

The logical question is whether such cooperation should sometimes go further.

If intelligence identifies a foreign criminal network actively stealing millions of dollars from American citizens, and if an operation can disable its infrastructure without causing wider damage, should Washington really refrain merely because the technicians capable of carrying it out receive private-sector salaries?

That would confuse the identity of the operator with the legitimacy of the operation.

Legitimacy should instead come from lawful authority, defined targets, proportionality, oversight and accountability.

In all this is also a larger strategic lesson for other countries, including India.

Cybersecurity policy has traditionally been built around walls: stronger passwords, better authentication, improved backups, faster detection, safer software. All of these are indispensable. But walls alone have never been a complete security strategy.

Banks do not merely buy thicker vault doors; governments also pursue bank robbers. Countries do not merely reinforce their borders; they try to dismantle trafficking networks. Maritime security does not consist solely of making ships harder to hijack.

Yet in cyberspace, the victim has often been expected to absorb the attack, repair the damage and wait for a criminal justice system built around geography to catch an adversary who deliberately exploits geography’s disappearance.

Trump’s policy is an attempt to correct that asymmetry. It could go wrong. Poor oversight could turn a useful instrument into a dangerous precedent. Operations could be misdirected. Commercial incentives could distort judgement. Governments will therefore need exceptional transparency about the rules even when individual operations must remain secret.

But refusing to develop offensive options carries risks too. The deeper mistake would be to assume that the internet remains a place where governments can protect citizens using policing doctrines designed for crimes committed inside clearly defined territorial jurisdictions. For more analysis on technology policy, regulation and emerging business risks, explore our CounterPoint section.

Cybercriminals have already moved beyond that world. The state must move beyond it as well. Private companies should never receive an unrestricted licence to wage cyberwar. But neither should governments refuse to use private capability simply because an old distinction between public authority and private expertise feels reassuring.

The proper principle is simpler: private capability, public authority and public accountability. If Washington can preserve all three, its experiment may prove not to be the beginning of a digital Wild West, but the beginning of a more credible form of cyber deterrence.

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Beyond

Kevin Warsh faces rate-policy divide

Kevin Warsh is facing an early and unusually difficult test as chairman of the US Federal Reserve, after a sharp split emerged within the central bank over interest rates and the best way to control inflation.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% at its July 28-29 meeting. But the decision was far from unanimous. Three officials voted for a 25-basis-point rate increase, leaving the final vote at 9-3. It was the first time since 1993 that three Fed policymakers dissented in favour of a rate hike.

The disagreement puts Warsh, who took over as Fed chair earlier this year, in a challenging position. His immediate task is not simply to decide where interest rates should go, but also to keep policymakers working together while maintaining confidence in the US central bank.

Warsh has repeatedly stressed the importance of price stability and has adopted a more data-driven approach to monetary policy. After the latest meeting, he indicated that the Fed would remain focused on bringing inflation back towards its 2% target. The central bank has kept rates unchanged throughout 2026 so far, as policymakers weigh persistent inflation against the health of the labour market and wider economic risks.

The three dissenters wanted rates to rise immediately, reflecting concern that inflation remains too high. The majority, however, preferred to wait for more evidence before tightening monetary policy.

That difference matters because the US economy is presenting the Fed with competing signals. Economic activity remains relatively solid, while productivity and capital investment have been strong. At the same time, inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. The central bank has also been monitoring the impact of energy prices, geopolitical tensions and other supply-side pressures.

For households and businesses, the Fed’s decision has wider implications. Higher interest rates can make borrowing more expensive for consumers and companies, while keeping rates higher for longer can weigh on investment and spending. A premature rate cut, on the other hand, could risk allowing inflation to remain stubbornly high.

Financial markets are therefore watching Warsh’s every signal. Investors are trying to determine whether the July decision represents a temporary pause or the beginning of a longer period of tight monetary policy.

The bond market has already reflected some of that uncertainty. Treasury yields have moved higher this year, while investors have been reassessing expectations for the path of US interest rates. The Fed’s own July monetary policy report noted that market expectations had shifted towards higher rates, with investors at the time pricing the federal funds rate at around 4% by the end of 2026.

Warsh’s communication style is also attracting attention. Rather than offering strong forward guidance about future rate moves, he has indicated that the Fed should allow incoming economic data and financial conditions to shape decisions. That approach gives policymakers more flexibility, but it can also leave investors with fewer clear signals about what comes next.

The challenge is particularly important because the Federal Reserve’s credibility depends not only on its decisions but also on its ability to present a coherent policy message. A visibly divided FOMC can make markets more uncertain and complicate the transmission of monetary policy.

The disagreement does not necessarily mean the Fed is in crisis. Policymakers have always held different views about inflation, employment and interest rates. But the size and direction of the July split make it an important moment for Warsh’s leadership.

The chairman will also have to balance competing pressures from outside the Fed. President Donald Trump has previously pushed for lower interest rates, while Warsh has sought to emphasise the central bank’s responsibility for price stability. Maintaining the Fed’s policy independence will therefore remain an important part of his job.

The July meeting also showed how difficult the current economic environment has become. Policymakers must assess inflation without ignoring employment, economic growth, financial markets and geopolitical developments. The Middle East conflict, in particular, has added uncertainty around energy prices and inflation.

The Fed’s internal split could also shape expectations for the dollar, US Treasury yields and global markets. Any signal that policymakers are leaning towards higher rates could strengthen the dollar and push borrowing costs higher worldwide, while a shift towards rate cuts could have the opposite effect. For investors, the focus will now remain on upcoming inflation and jobs data, as well as how Warsh manages differing views within the FOMC.

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1 Minute-Read

Trump’s Fed Chair nominee Warsh promises independence

Kevin Warsh, US President Donald Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve chair, told senators he would protect the central bank’s independence if confirmed.

During his Senate hearing, Warsh rejected criticism that he would follow Trump’s political agenda. He said interest-rate decisions would be based on economic data and long-term stability.

Warsh also criticised the Fed’s past handling of inflation, saying it must rebuild credibility. His nomination is being closely watched as the Federal Reserve plays a major role in controlling inflation, borrowing costs and guiding the US economy.

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1 Minute-Read

Oil chiefs warn Trump on Iran war risks

Top US oil executives have warned Donald Trump that the ongoing tensions involving Iran could disrupt global energy markets and drive oil prices higher.

Industry leaders told US officials that the conflict may threaten tanker movement through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global crude shipments. Any disruption in the waterway could tighten supplies and trigger prolonged volatility in energy markets. Crude prices have already surged amid fears of escalation.

Analysts say further instability in the Gulf region could worsen the supply outlook and push fuel costs higher worldwide, raising concerns over inflation and economic pressure for many oil-importing countries.

Categories
Leaders

Trump to nominate Kevin Warsh as Federal chair

US President Donald Trump is expected to name Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the Federal Reserve, a move that could shape the future direction of America’s central bank. While the White House has not yet made a formal announcement, reports suggest the decision is imminent.

Kevin Warsh is not a new face in Washington or on Wall Street. He served as a Federal Reserve governor in the past and has long been seen as a serious contender for the top job. Known for his deep understanding of financial markets and monetary policy, Warsh has been close to the centre of economic decision-making during periods of crisis and recovery.

Trump has repeatedly expressed dissatisfaction with the current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, mainly over interest rate policy. The president has argued that rates should be cut faster to support economic growth. Powell’s term is set to end later this year, opening the door for new leadership at the central bank.

If confirmed, Warsh would step into the role at a sensitive time for the US economy. Inflation concerns have eased compared to previous years, but questions remain over growth, borrowing costs and global uncertainty. Investors and economists are closely watching how the next Fed chair might balance inflation control with the need to support jobs and expansion.

Financial markets reacted cautiously to reports of Warsh’s likely nomination. The US dollar strengthened slightly and bond yields moved higher, reflecting expectations that Warsh may take a more traditional and disciplined approach to monetary policy compared to some other potential candidates.

Supporters believe Warsh’s experience could bring stability and predictability to the Federal Reserve. They see him as someone who understands both government policymaking and market realities, which could help restore confidence during uncertain times.

However, the expected nomination has also revived concerns about political pressure on the central bank. Critics worry that Trump’s open criticism of the Fed could threaten its independence, a principle seen as crucial for maintaining long-term economic stability.

Warsh will need approval from the US Senate before taking charge. His confirmation hearings are likely to be closely followed, as lawmakers question him on interest rates, inflation, and the Fed’s independence.

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Beyond

Trump ends Europe tariff threat after Arctic deal

President Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that he is dropping planned tariffs on several European countries, following what he described as reaching a “framework of a future deal” with NATO on Greenland and Arctic security. Trump made the announcement at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, where he has been attending discussions with world leaders.

Trump said the framework, agreed with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, establishes a plan for cooperation on Arctic security and makes the previously threatened tariffs unnecessary. He framed the agreement as a major achievement for the US, describing it as a “very productive meeting” that could benefit both the US and its NATO allies.

Earlier, Trump had threatened tariffs on eight European countries to pressure them into accepting US influence over Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory of Denmark. While his earlier comments included unusual suggestions about acquiring Greenland, he emphasized in Davos that the US would not use military force and that the framework is focused on security cooperation, not sovereignty.

The announcement had a positive effect on global markets, with US stock indices rising after news of the tariff cancellation. Analysts said it eased fears of a trade confrontation between the US and European nations.

However, Denmark’s leadership rejected Trump’s interpretation of the agreement. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen stated that Greenland’s sovereignty is not negotiable and that any cooperation with the US would strictly focus on security in the Arctic. Greenland’s government also reinforced that the island is not for sale, reflecting long-standing European concerns over Trump’s earlier remarks.

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