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US stock futures dip ahead of inflation data

US stock futures were slightly lower in early trading as investors turned cautious ahead of key economic data and corporate earnings expected this week.

Market attention is focused on the December Consumer Price Index (CPI), an important inflation report that can influence future interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve. If inflation remains sticky, interest rates could stay higher for longer.

The fourth-quarter earnings season is also set to begin, led by major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup. Their results will offer clues on how companies managed higher interest rates and ongoing economic uncertainty.

Ahead of these events, futures linked to the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq were trading marginally lower, showing a cautious mood rather than sharp selling.

Markets have been volatile in recent weeks as investors scale back expectations of early interest rate cuts, following strong economic data. For now, traders are adopting a wait-and-watch approach, looking for clearer signals from inflation numbers and earnings updates.

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Gold jumps ₹2,000, silver soars ₹10,000 to record highs

Gold and silver prices surged to fresh all-time highs on Monday, reflecting strong investor preference for safe-haven assets amid rising global uncertainty. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures climbed by around ₹2,000 per 10 grams, while silver prices jumped sharply by nearly ₹10,000 per kilogram, marking one of the strongest single-session rallies in recent months.

The sharp rise in precious metal prices comes against a backdrop of heightened geopolitical tensions and economic concerns across major global markets. Ongoing instability in parts of the Middle East, coupled with fears of an escalation in conflicts, has pushed investors towards assets traditionally seen as stores of value during uncertain times. Gold and silver typically benefit in such conditions, as they are viewed as protection against market volatility and currency risks.

Another key factor driving the rally is growing optimism around potential interest rate cuts by major central banks, particularly the US Federal Reserve. Expectations that borrowing costs could ease later this year have weakened the US dollar and reduced bond yields, making non-interest-bearing assets like gold and silver more attractive to investors. Market participants are closely watching upcoming economic data and policy signals for further clarity on the rate trajectory.

Internationally, gold prices have crossed important psychological levels, while silver has gained from both investment demand and its extensive use in industrial applications such as electronics, solar panels and electric vehicles. This dual demand has amplified silver’s price movement, leading to sharper gains compared to gold.

In the domestic market, bullion prices closely tracked global trends. Physical gold rates in major Indian cities also moved higher, with jewellers and traders reporting increased volatility. While higher prices have dampened immediate retail demand, investment interest remains firm, particularly ahead of key global economic events.

Market experts caution that while the broader outlook for precious metals remains positive, price swings could continue in the near term. Factors such as geopolitical developments, central bank commentary and movements in global currencies are expected to play a decisive role in shaping the next phase of the rally.

For now, gold and silver remain firmly in focus as investors seek stability and protection in an increasingly uncertain global economic environment.

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SEBI eases tech glitch rules for brokers

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has revised its framework for dealing with technical glitches at stock brokerage firms, giving major relief to small brokers. Under the new rules, the technical glitch framework will now apply only to brokers who have more than 10,000 registered clients. This change effectively removes nearly 60 per cent of brokers from strict reporting and penalty requirements related to technology failures.

SEBI said the move is aimed at reducing the compliance burden on smaller market intermediaries while ensuring that systemically important brokers continue to maintain strong technology safeguards. Smaller brokers had raised concerns that the earlier rules treated all firms alike, regardless of size, scale, or technological capacity.

As per the revised framework, not all technology-related issues will be treated as “technical glitches.” Problems that do not impact actual trading, such as back-office disruptions, issues caused by third-party vendors, or minor interface errors, will no longer attract regulatory action. SEBI clarified that only glitches affecting order placement, execution, or critical trading systems will come under the framework.

The regulator has also relaxed reporting timelines. Brokers will now get up to two hours to report a technical glitch, compared with the earlier one-hour limit. Reporting will also become simpler, with brokers required to use a common reporting platform instead of multiple exchange-specific systems. Brokers must inform stock exchanges as well as their clients within the stipulated time if a serious disruption occurs.

In addition, SEBI has rationalised several technology-related requirements, including capacity planning and disaster recovery drills. These obligations will now be proportionate to the size and client base of the brokerage. Financial penalties for glitches will also be assessed after considering exemptions and the nature of the disruption.

Market participants have welcomed the move, saying it strikes a better balance between market stability and ease of doing business. The revised framework comes into effect immediately and reflects SEBI’s effort to adopt a more practical and risk-based regulatory approach.

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US lets India buy Venezuelan oil

The United States has signaled that India can resume buying crude oil from Venezuela, a source that was largely blocked due to US sanctions. US officials said Indian companies may import Venezuelan oil, but all sales and payments will be controlled and monitored by Washington. The detailed rules and approvals are still being finalized.

India was a regular buyer of Venezuelan crude before sanctions halted trade. With Indian refiners reducing Russian oil imports due to US pressure, Venezuelan oil offers a politically acceptable alternative. Reliance Industries, India’s largest refining company, said it would consider importing Venezuelan oil again once US regulatory approval is clear. Other refiners, including Indian Oil Corporation and Hindustan Petroleum, have also expressed interest.

Earlier, Reliance received permits to import about 63,000 barrels per day of Venezuelan oil in early 2025. Imports stopped in May 2025 after tighter sanctions. Venezuelan crude is heavy and requires special processing, so Indian refiners are expected to start gradually once approvals are in place.

Experts say resuming Venezuelan oil imports could help India reduce dependence on Russian crude while staying within US rules. However, all shipments will remain under Washington’s oversight, meaning India cannot freely trade or sell the oil.

The move reflects a significant shift in US policy. By allowing India to buy Venezuelan oil under strict control, Washington maintains strategic oversight while opening an old trade route. For India, this could ease supply challenges, give refiners access to discounted heavy crude, and reduce reliance on other countries.

While promising, the process will take time. Indian refiners will wait for clear regulatory guidance and permits. The actual volumes and timeline for imports will depend on US approvals and Venezuela’s ability to supply the crude under international scrutiny.

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Trump orders $200bn mortgage bonds to cut rates

US President Donald Trump has announced a plan for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase $200 billion in mortgage‑backed securities (MBS) to help lower mortgage rates and make housing more affordable. The announcement was made on his social media platform, Truth Social.

The plan aims to reduce monthly mortgage payments for homebuyers by increasing demand for mortgage bonds, which could push interest rates slightly lower. Trump said the government‑sponsored agencies have enough funds to carry out the purchases without using extra federal money. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) confirmed that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will implement the plan, though details on timing and methods were not shared.

This move comes amid ongoing concerns about housing affordability. Mortgage rates, while slightly lower than last year, remain high, with the average 30‑year rate around 6.2%. Rising rates and a limited housing supply have made buying a home more difficult for many Americans.

Analysts have given mixed reactions. Some believe the plan could lower mortgage rates slightly, but others say $200 billion is a small part of the $11 trillion U.S. mortgage bond market and may have limited effect on overall housing costs. Questions have also been raised about the accuracy of Trump’s claims regarding the GSEs’ cash reserves.

The announcement follows other housing-related measures from the Trump administration, including proposals to limit institutional investors from buying single-family homes. Officials say this initiative is designed to help middle-class Americans afford homes and provide relief to the housing market ahead of economic challenges.

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US withdraws from 66 global bodies under Trump

The United States has announced its withdrawal from 66 international organisations, including several United Nations bodies and the India- and France-backed International Solar Alliance (ISA), marking a major shift in its approach to global cooperation. The decision follows a presidential directive issued by US President Donald Trump, citing the need to protect national interests, sovereignty and taxpayer money.

According to official statements, the list includes 31 UN-linked organisations and 35 non-UN bodies. These cover a wide range of areas such as climate change, renewable energy, social development, labour standards, peacebuilding and scientific cooperation. Among the prominent exits are climate-related platforms like the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, along with the International Solar Alliance, which focuses on promoting solar energy in tropical countries.

The US administration has argued that many of these organisations are inefficient, overlap in their work, or promote policies that do not align with American priorities. Federal agencies have been instructed to end participation and funding in these bodies, subject to legal procedures, and to reassess international commitments going forward.

Supporters of the move say it allows the US to focus resources at home and avoid obligations they believe offer limited returns. However, the decision has triggered concern among diplomats, climate experts and global institutions. Critics warn that stepping away from multilateral platforms could weaken international efforts on climate action, public health, labour rights and conflict resolution.

There are also geopolitical implications. Analysts note that the US withdrawal may leave a leadership gap in several global forums, potentially allowing countries such as China to expand their influence by increasing funding and engagement. This concern has been highlighted particularly in the context of UN agencies and climate-related institutions.

India-led initiatives, including the International Solar Alliance, are expected to continue their work despite the US exit, but experts say reduced American participation could slow progress and funding momentum.

The move continues a broader trend seen under the Trump administration, which has previously questioned or withdrawn from major international agreements. As the withdrawals take effect, global partners are assessing how the absence of the US will impact international cooperation and whether existing institutions can adapt to a changing geopolitical landscape.

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Gold slips to ₹1,37,990, Silver fall to ₹2,51,900

Gold prices showed minor variation across major cities. In Mumbai and Kolkata, 24-carat gold was quoted at ₹1,37,990 per 10 grams, while Delhi saw slightly higher levels at ₹1,38,140. Chennai continued to trade at a premium, with 24-carat gold priced at ₹1,39,080 per 10 grams. Prices of 22-carat gold followed a similar trend across regions.

Silver prices also softened, with one kilogram declining by ₹100 to ₹2,51,900 in most markets. Chennai again reported higher rates, with silver trading at ₹2,71,900 per kilogram, reflecting regional demand and local levies.

Market participants attributed the mild correction in precious metal prices to cautious trading ahead of key global economic data and a firm US dollar. Internationally, gold prices have seen some profit-taking after hovering near record highs, while silver has also faced pressure amid expectations of tighter global financial conditions.

Experts note that while short-term movements remain range-bound, gold continues to attract investor interest as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty and inflation. Domestic prices may continue to fluctuate in the near term, tracking global trends, currency movements, and changes in international bullion markets.

Also Read: Sensex slides 200 points, Nifty dips below 25,850

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Trump pulls US out of 66 international organisations

US President Donald Trump has ordered to withdraw from more than 60 international organisations, including several UN agencies and the India–France-led International Solar Alliance (ISA), calling the memberships “redundant” and contrary to American priorities.

On Wednesday, Trump signed an executive order instructing US departments to immediately cease participation in and funding for 31 United Nations bodies and 35 non-UN organizations, according to a White House statement.

The affected entities cover areas including climate change, conservation, counterterrorism, and human rights, among others.

The Trump administration cited that these bodies operate in ways that conflict with US national interests, security, economic growth, or sovereignty. Participation in or funding for these entities will be halted to the extent allowed by law.

Among the bodies on the list is the International Solar Alliance, a global initiative led by India and France focused on climate action. Over 100 countries are signatories, with more than 90 having ratified full membership.

Speaking on X, US Ambassador to the UN Mike Waltz said the withdrawal ensures the United States will no longer “fund or participate in international organisations that do not serve, or actively work against, American interests.”

Secretary of State Marco Rubio added that the 66 organisations were found to be “redundant, mismanaged, poorly run, or pursuing agendas that conflict with the US mission, sovereignty, and prosperity.”

The United Nations confirmed it has received the list of organisations affected and said it will issue an official response on Thursday.

Trump’s move represents one of the most significant rollbacks of US involvement in multilateral institutions in recent years, and it is expected to have far-reaching implications for international cooperation on issues ranging from climate change to security and development.

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Trump backs bill proposing 500% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil

US President Donald Trump has backed a proposed sanctions bill that would allow Washington to impose import tariffs of up to 500% on goods from countries that continue to buy Russian oil and gas, a move that could sharply escalate global trade tensions and strain relations with major economies such as India and China.

The bipartisan legislation, introduced in the US Senate, is aimed at intensifying economic pressure on Moscow by targeting nations that the United States believes are indirectly funding Russia’s war effort through continued energy purchases. The bill would give the US president broad authority to levy exceptionally high duties on imports from countries that buy Russian crude, refined petroleum products or other energy supplies.

Supporters of the proposal argue that existing sanctions have failed to fully curb Russia’s energy revenues and that secondary measures are necessary to close loopholes. Senator Lindsey Graham, one of the bill’s key sponsors, has said President Trump has indicated his support for the measure, significantly improving its chances of advancing in Congress. Lawmakers backing the bill say the threat of extreme tariffs would force countries to reconsider their energy ties with Moscow.

If enacted, the proposal could have major implications for India, which has emerged as one of the largest buyers of Russian crude since Western sanctions were imposed. Indian refiners have taken advantage of discounted prices to secure supplies, citing energy security and affordability. New Delhi has consistently maintained that its purchases are legal, transparent and in line with national interest, but the proposed US move raises the risk of fresh trade friction between the two countries.

China and Brazil, which have also continued to trade energy with Russia, could face similar exposure. Analysts warn that tariffs at such levels would effectively block access to the US market for many exporters, potentially disrupting global supply chains and increasing costs for American consumers. Sectors ranging from industrial goods and consumer products to pharmaceuticals and textiles could be impacted if trade flows are curtailed.

Financial markets have begun to assess the potential fallout, with investors concerned that the bill could add a new layer of uncertainty to an already fragile global trade environment. Export-oriented economies are seen as particularly vulnerable if Washington chooses to aggressively enforce the measure.

The proposed tariffs represent a sharp escalation from previous sanctions, which largely focused on restricting direct trade with Russia. By targeting third countries, the United States would be extending its sanctions regime beyond its traditional boundaries, a move that critics argue could undermine multilateral trade rules and invite retaliation.

The Trump administration has defended the approach as necessary to prevent sanctioned oil from circulating in global markets and to reduce funding flows to governments viewed as hostile to US interests. However, it remains unclear how broadly the tariff powers would be applied or whether waivers could be granted to strategic partners.

As the bill moves through the legislative process, governments and businesses around the world are closely watching for signs of how aggressively Washington intends to deploy one of the most severe trade measures proposed in recent years.

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India’s GDP likely to grow 7.4% in FY26

India’s economy is expected to grow at 7.4 percent in the financial year 2025‑26, according to the government’s first advance GDP estimates. This is higher than last year’s growth of 6.5 percent, signaling a strong economic recovery.

The nominal GDP, which factors in price changes, is projected to rise by 8 percent. The services sector is leading the growth, driven by finance, real estate, trade, transport, and communication. Manufacturing and construction are expected to expand around 7 percent, while agriculture may grow at about 3.1 percent.

Despite global economic challenges, strong domestic demand, investments, and supportive policy measures are helping the economy stay on track. These estimates will guide the upcoming Union Budget, offering a roadmap for fiscal planning in the year ahead.

This early outlook reflects India’s resilience and continued momentum, keeping the country on track for steady growth in FY26.

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