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Beyond

FPIs pull ₹44,166 cr from equities in October

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have withdrawn ₹44,166 crore from Indian equities so far in October, pushing their total withdrawals in 2026 to ₹3.04 lakh crore. Rising crude oil prices, a stronger US dollar and elevated US bond yields have weakened investor appetite for Indian stocks, while an artificial intelligence-driven rally in North Asian markets is attracting overseas capital.

The latest figures underline the sustained pressure on Indian equity markets as foreign investors reassess their exposure amid global economic uncertainty. According to data from the National Securities Depository Ltd (NSDL), October’s withdrawals follow net equity outflows of ₹35,861 crore in September.

With three months remaining in the calendar year, foreign investor selling has already exceeded the ₹1.66 lakh crore withdrawn during the whole of 2025. The scale of the outflows highlights a challenging period for Indian equities, even as domestic investors continue to provide support to the market.

FPIs had turned net buyers in July and August, investing ₹20,200 crore and ₹29,631 crore, respectively. That buying trend reversed in September and has intensified in October, reflecting concerns over global interest rates, currency movements and the relative attractiveness of emerging markets.

One of the key factors behind the latest selling is the rise in crude oil prices. As a major oil importer, India is particularly vulnerable to expensive energy, which can increase the country’s import bill, put pressure on the current account and complicate efforts to control inflation. Higher oil prices can also raise costs for companies across sectors, affecting profit margins and earnings expectations.

A stronger US dollar and higher American bond yields have added to the pressure. When US government securities offer more attractive returns, global investors may shift money away from emerging-market equities towards dollar-denominated assets. A stronger dollar can also make investments in markets such as India less attractive when returns are converted back into foreign currencies.

Currency depreciation is another concern for overseas investors. Even when Indian stocks deliver gains in rupee terms, a weaker rupee can reduce returns for investors measuring performance in dollars. This combination of equity-market volatility and foreign-exchange risk has encouraged investors to remain cautious.

The movement of capital towards North Asian markets is also influencing investment decisions. The artificial intelligence-led rally in technology stocks across markets such as South Korea and Taiwan has created opportunities that are attracting foreign funds. Investors seeking exposure to semiconductor companies and the wider AI supply chain may be reallocating capital towards these markets.

The shift comes at a difficult time for Indian equities, which have faced pressure from foreign selling, elevated valuations in some segments and uncertainty over corporate earnings. Persistent FPI outflows can weigh on share prices, particularly large-cap stocks that have significant foreign ownership, and may contribute to volatility in benchmark indices such as the Sensex and Nifty.

However, foreign selling does not necessarily mean that overseas investors have abandoned India as a long-term investment destination. Capital flows can change as valuations, currency conditions, earnings prospects and global interest rates evolve.

The pattern of investment also varies across market segments. Foreign investors can sell shares on stock exchanges while continuing to invest in new share offerings or other financial instruments. Data reported on October 11 showed that exchange-based equity selling in October stood at ₹45,126 crore, partly offset by ₹960 crore of inflows through the primary market, leaving net equity outflows at ₹44,166 crore.

Domestic institutional investors, including mutual funds, have helped cushion the impact of foreign selling. Indian households have continued to invest in equities through systematic investment plans (SIPs), providing a more stable source of demand.

Data released for September showed that equity mutual funds received ₹38,307 crore, their highest monthly inflow in five months. SIP contributions also reached a record ₹32,490 crore, reflecting continued participation by retail investors despite weak market performance.

These domestic flows have helped absorb some of the shares sold by overseas investors, although they have not been sufficient to eliminate the pressure on benchmark indices. The balance between foreign selling and domestic buying remains an important factor in determining near-term market direction.

Market participants will watch crude oil prices, the US dollar, bond yields and global technology stocks for signs of a shift in sentiment. A more stable currency, easing global yields and stronger corporate earnings could help improve the appeal of Indian equities.

For investors, sustained FPI outflows are a reminder that global developments can influence domestic share prices even when India’s long-term economic prospects remain intact. Rather than reacting solely to daily foreign investment figures, investors need to assess company fundamentals, valuations and their own investment horizons.

The immediate challenge for Indian markets is to withstand continued overseas selling while domestic investment provides support. Whether foreign investors return in greater numbers will depend on changes in global financial conditions and renewed confidence in the relative returns offered by Indian stocks.

 

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Beyond

SEBI proposes wider FPI access

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has proposed widening the participation of foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in India’s exchange-traded commodity derivatives market, a move aimed at bringing more institutional money into the segment and strengthening its liquidity and price discovery.

The markets regulator issued a consultation paper on August 11, seeking views on allowing FPIs to participate in a wider range of non-agricultural commodity derivatives, including contracts that are physically settled. The consultation is open for public comments until September 1, 2026.

At present, FPIs are permitted to trade only cash-settled non-agricultural commodity derivatives and indices comprising such commodities. SEBI had first allowed FPI participation in India’s exchange-traded commodity derivatives (ETCDs) in 2022.

The regulator now wants to expand that framework. Under the proposal, FPIs would be allowed to trade non-agricultural commodity derivatives that involve physical settlement, subject to safeguards. The proposal also seeks to permit FPI participation in non-agricultural index derivatives regardless of whether the underlying commodities are cash-settled or physically settled.

The move covers important commodities such as crude oil, natural gas, gold, silver and base metals. These commodities are actively traded in international markets and their prices are closely linked to global benchmarks.

SEBI believes greater participation by overseas investors could make India’s commodity derivatives market deeper and more internationally connected. A broader participant base could mean more buying and selling activity, potentially improving liquidity and making it easier for investors to enter and exit positions.

The regulator also expects the proposal to improve price discovery. Commodity prices are influenced by global demand, supply, geopolitical developments and currency movements. Greater participation from international investors could help Indian commodity contracts respond more efficiently to these factors.

SEBI said foreign participation has already produced visible results in parts of the market. Liquidity in crude oil and natural gas options has increased notably since FPIs were allowed to participate. Open interest has also risen, with FPIs accounting for a meaningful and growing share of activity.

The latest proposal is therefore aimed at extending that experience to a broader set of commodity derivatives.

There is, however, a practical complication with physically settled contracts. Unlike cash-settled derivatives, these contracts can result in the delivery or receipt of the underlying commodity when they approach expiry.

SEBI noted that FPIs may not be in a position to undertake physical delivery because they generally do not have a permanent establishment in India. The regulator has also pointed out that buying or selling commodities in India could require GST registration.

To address the issue, SEBI has proposed a two-tier safeguard mechanism.

Under the first layer, FPIs would have to square off or roll over their positions before the tender or staggered delivery period begins. The compulsory exit requirement would start three days before the expiry of the relevant contract.

If an FPI fails to close or roll over its position, the second layer would come into play. The open position would automatically be transferred to a designated trading member or trading-cum-clearing member.

The transfer would take place at the exchange’s closing price or daily settlement price. Once the position is transferred, the FPI would no longer have any obligation or exposure connected with the position, including responsibilities related to physical delivery.

SEBI has also proposed a financial safeguard for trading members that take over such positions. FPIs could be required to pay a pre-agreed “Proprietary Risk Absorption Charge” if their positions are involuntarily transferred.

The charge is intended to compensate trading members for the additional proprietary risk, margin requirements and position-limit burden they may face after taking over an FPI position. It would be separate from any service fee agreed between the parties.

Trading members would also be given up to two trading days to bring transferred positions back within prescribed position limits if the transfer temporarily pushes their proprietary accounts beyond those limits.

SEBI’s Commodity Derivatives Advisory Committee has supported the proposed changes, adding weight to the regulator’s push for wider foreign participation.

For the Indian commodity market, the proposal could represent another step towards making domestic derivatives contracts more attractive to global investors. Greater FPI participation could potentially increase trading volumes, strengthen market depth and help Indian commodity prices track international developments more efficiently.

For foreign investors, the proposed changes would broaden access to India’s commodity derivatives market without requiring them to take on direct physical delivery obligations. For domestic exchanges and trading members, increased participation could create opportunities for higher liquidity and wider institutional activity.

The proposal is still at the consultation stage and is not yet a final regulatory change. Market participants now have until September 1 to submit their views to SEBI. The regulator will consider the feedback before deciding on the final framework.

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Beyond

Sebi to review FPI rules, settlement changes

Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is set to discuss key reforms aimed at making trading easier for foreign investors and improving overall market efficiency.

At its upcoming board meeting, Sebi will consider a proposal to simplify settlement rules for foreign portfolio investors (FPIs). At present, FPIs must settle each transaction separately, even if they buy and sell shares on the same day. This often requires them to arrange large amounts of funds for multiple trades.

The proposed change would allow a “net settlement” system, where investors can offset their buy and sell positions within the same trading cycle. This means they would only need to pay or receive the net difference, reducing the need for excess funds and lowering transaction costs.

Experts say this move could ease liquidity pressure on foreign investors, especially during periods of high trading activity such as index rebalancing. It may also help cut foreign exchange costs that arise due to timing differences between inflows and outflows.

Alongside this, Sebi will also review rules related to market intermediaries, including brokers and other financial entities. The board is expected to examine governance norms and eligibility criteria, often referred to as “fit and proper” rules, to ensure stronger oversight and accountability.

These proposals are part of Sebi’s ongoing efforts to make India’s capital markets more investor-friendly while maintaining safeguards for transparency and risk management. Simplifying processes for FPIs is seen as an important step in attracting more global investment into Indian markets.

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Corporate

FPIs return, pump ₹8,100 cr into Indian stocks

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have returned to the Indian stock market as net buyers, pumping over ₹8,100 crore into equities in early February. This marks the first major inflow after three consecutive months of heavy selling, reflecting renewed optimism following a landmark India‑US trade deal and improving global risk sentiment.

Data from depositories shows FPIs invested around ₹8,129 crore up to 6 February. This is a sharp turnaround from the outflows seen over the past months, where investors withdrew ₹35,962 crore in January, ₹22,611 crore in December, and ₹3,765 crore in November. The selling spree had been driven by global uncertainties, currency volatility, and fears of trade restrictions, which dampened foreign investor confidence.

Analysts say the recent inflows are largely motivated by the interim India‑US trade agreement, which eased geopolitical concerns and boosted expectations for stronger export growth and corporate earnings. “The trade deal has removed some of the uncertainty around bilateral trade, encouraging FPIs to return to Indian equities,” noted a market strategist.

Apart from the trade deal, stabilising domestic and global conditions, a stronger rupee, and lower market volatility have contributed to improved investor sentiment. Positive policy measures and clearer regulatory frameworks have further reassured foreign investors about India’s growth trajectory.

Despite the encouraging inflows, experts caution that this may not signal a long-term reversal yet. “While early February’s data is positive, sustained foreign investment will depend on macroeconomic stability, corporate performance, and the broader global trade environment,” said an economist.

The return of FPIs is seen as a welcome support for the Indian stock market, which had been under pressure from prolonged foreign selling.

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1 Minute-Read

FPIs sell ₹3,963 cr in Indian stocks

Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) remained net sellers in the Indian equity market, pulling out nearly ₹3,963 crore during the past week.

The continued outflow was driven by growing global trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, which have made overseas investors cautious about emerging markets, including India. Data from depositories showed that selling pressure intensified towards the end of the week, weighing on overall market sentiment.

Despite the foreign sell-off, domestic institutional investors provided some support, helping limit sharper declines. Market experts say FPI behaviour is likely to remain volatile in the near term, depending on global economic signals and trade-related developments.