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Gold eases at ₹1.53 lakh, silver trades at ₹2.61 lakh

Gold prices remain under pressure as oil, dollar and Fed concerns weigh on bullion

Gold and silver prices eased on Monday, September 14, giving festive buyers some relief as Ganesh Chaturthi celebrations began across Maharashtra. Precious metals remained under pressure as rising crude oil prices increased inflation concerns and strengthened expectations that the US Federal Reserve could maintain a tighter interest-rate stance.

The latest rates showed 24-carat gold at ₹1,52,990 per 10 grams, while 22-carat gold stood at ₹1,40,241 per 10 grams in Mumbai, Pune, Nagpur and Nashik. The 999 fine silver rate was ₹2,34,260 per kg in all four cities.

The rates are particularly significant for buyers in Maharashtra, where Ganesh Chaturthi is one of the biggest festivals of the year. Gold purchases are traditionally considered auspicious during the festive period, with families often buying jewellery, coins or other precious-metal products.

Gold prices have been moving lower in recent sessions. The decline comes after bullion recorded its third consecutive weekly fall, with investors becoming increasingly cautious about the outlook for US interest rates.

Around the morning trading session, the broader domestic gold rate was ₹1,53,260 per 10 grams, while 999 silver was trading at ₹2,34,690 per kg. On the Multi Commodity Exchange, or MCX, gold was down 0.08% at ₹1,52,655 per 10 grams, while silver futures were about 0.04% lower at ₹2,34,886 per kg.

The difference between these figures and city-wise retail rates is important for consumers. Retail gold prices can vary based on the source, location and pricing methodology. Jewellery buyers also need to account for making charges and taxes, which can push the final purchase price above the quoted bullion rate.

One of the biggest factors weighing on gold is the sharp rise in crude oil prices. Higher oil prices can add to inflationary pressures, particularly in major economies. This has raised concerns that central banks may have less room to reduce interest rates or may maintain higher rates for longer.

Gold is often viewed as a hedge against inflation, but it does not provide interest income. When interest rates rise or are expected to remain high, investors can shift towards interest-bearing assets, reducing the relative appeal of non-yielding bullion.

The US Federal Reserve is scheduled to hold its policy meeting on September 15 and 16. Investors are watching the meeting closely for signals about the future direction of US interest rates. Any indication of a more hawkish policy stance could put additional pressure on gold and silver prices.

The US dollar is another important factor. International gold prices are denominated in dollars, meaning a stronger US currency can make gold more expensive for buyers using other currencies. This can affect demand and put pressure on global bullion prices.

Spot gold was down around 0.5% at approximately $4,327.80 an ounce, while US gold futures for December delivery fell nearly 1% to about $4,368.60 an ounce. The international decline followed the metal’s third consecutive weekly fall.

The recent weakness does not necessarily mean the longer-term gold story has changed. Goldman Sachs continues to see upside potential and has retained its forecast for gold to reach $4,900 an ounce by the end of 2026, although it expects considerable price volatility along the way.

Global movements are only one part of India’s gold price equation. Domestic rates are also influenced by the rupee-dollar exchange rate, import costs, international bullion prices and local demand. These factors can cause Indian prices to move differently from global gold prices on some days.

Silver is facing similar pressure but has additional factors influencing its price. Unlike gold, silver has significant industrial demand. It is widely used in electronics, solar panels and several other technologies. This gives the metal a different demand profile and can make its price more sensitive to expectations about global economic growth.

The latest silver price today in the four Maharashtra cities stands at ₹2,34,260 per kg for 999 fine silver. The metal has also seen considerable volatility in recent weeks, making it important for buyers to check the latest rate before making a purchase.

The festive season could provide some support to domestic gold demand even as international markets remain uncertain. A fall in prices may encourage buyers who had been waiting for a more favourable entry point.

Still, consumers should avoid looking only at the headline gold rate today. The purity of the metal, making charges, GST and other costs can significantly affect the final jewellery bill. Two jewellers quoting similar gold rates can therefore offer different final prices.

Investors, meanwhile, will be watching the Federal Reserve meeting, crude oil prices, the US dollar and upcoming US economic data for clues about the next move in bullion.

Ganesh Chaturthi is bringing a fresh wave of festive demand, and buyers may welcome the recent easing in prices. Global economic and policy factors, however, continue to drive the market, keeping both gold and silver vulnerable to further swings in the coming days.

 

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