The World Bank has projected that India’s economy will grow by 7.2 per cent in the fiscal year 2025‑26, keeping the country among the fastest-growing major economies in the world. This forecast, detailed in the Bank’s latest Global Economic Prospects report, highlights robust domestic demand and resilient economic activity as the main drivers of growth.
The report notes that private consumption is rising steadily, supported by higher rural household incomes and the positive effects of previous tax reforms. These factors, combined with strong performance in the services and merchandise export sectors, are helping India maintain economic momentum even amid global challenges.
The World Bank also pointed out that India’s growth is occurring despite external pressures such as trade tensions, slowing global growth, and higher US import tariffs, all of which have affected emerging markets. However, India’s strong internal demand and policy measures have cushioned the impact of these global headwinds.
Looking ahead, the Bank expects India’s growth to moderate to 6.5 per cent in FY2026‑27, before gradually rising to 6.6 per cent in FY2027‑28. This slowdown is attributed to a projected easing of domestic demand and global economic uncertainties, but overall, India’s economy is expected to remain resilient due to its diversified growth drivers and strong fundamentals.
The report emphasizes that continued investments in infrastructure, digital technology, and human capital, along with effective policy measures, will be key to sustaining growth over the medium term. India’s performance contrasts with other emerging economies, many of which are struggling with slower growth, inflationary pressures, and declining exports.
Overall, the World Bank’s forecast reflects optimism about India’s ability to maintain high growth rates, driven by domestic consumption, export resilience, and structural reforms. Policymakers are encouraged to continue focusing on inclusive growth, employment generation, and reforms to support long-term economic stability.
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