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IEX shares fall 8% after CERC draft proposal

Shares of Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) fell sharply on Monday, dropping around 8% after a draft proposal from the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) unsettled investors. The stock came under strong selling pressure as the new proposal raised concerns about changes in how electricity prices may be determined in the future.

The market reaction followed CERC’s draft rules on “market coupling,” a system aimed at creating a single price discovery mechanism across multiple power exchanges. If implemented, bids from different exchanges would be pooled together and a common market-clearing price would be decided centrally.

At present, exchanges such as IEX run their own platforms where electricity prices are discovered based on supply and demand. This model has helped IEX emerge as the dominant player in India’s power trading market over the years. Investors now fear that a common pricing system could reduce the company’s competitive edge.

IEX has built its strength through high liquidity, strong market share and a large user base. Analysts believe these advantages may become less valuable if all exchanges operate under a central pricing framework. That could impact trading volumes, pricing power and future earnings growth.

The Day-Ahead Market, one of IEX’s most important business segments, is seen as particularly vulnerable if market coupling is introduced there first. Since this segment contributes significantly to the company’s revenue, any changes could directly affect investor sentiment.

Despite the sharp sell-off, experts noted that the proposal is still in the draft stage and not yet final. CERC has invited comments from stakeholders before taking a final decision, which means the framework could still undergo changes after consultations.

Some market observers also pointed out that India’s power market continues to expand due to rising electricity demand, renewable energy growth and increased industrial consumption. This means IEX may still have growth opportunities even if competition increases.

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Corporate

IEX stock falls after APTEL defers market coupling case

Shares of Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) declined on Friday as investors reacted to continued uncertainty over proposed reforms in the power trading market. The fall came after the Electricity Appellate Tribunal (APTEL) adjourned the hearing on the market coupling issue to January 19, 2026, extending the wait for regulatory clarity.

The case relates to a challenge filed by IEX against directions issued by the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) in July 2025. These directions propose the introduction of market coupling, a mechanism aimed at creating a single, unified price for electricity by pooling bids from all power exchanges. The reform is intended to improve efficiency and transparency in price discovery across the power market.

IEX has opposed the move, arguing that the proposed system could adversely impact competition and undermine its business model. The company has also raised concerns about the process followed by the regulator, stating that it was not given adequate opportunity to present its views before the directive was issued.

During the latest hearing, CERC informed the tribunal that the July communication should be treated as a direction and not a final, binding order. The regulator’s counsel sought additional time to clarify whether the directive could be modified or withdrawn, given the questions raised by the tribunal. Taking note of these submissions, APTEL decided to defer the matter and asked both sides to file further documents before the next hearing.

The tribunal also flagged the need for greater transparency and procedural fairness in regulatory decision-making, indicating that these aspects would be examined in detail when the case resumes.

The postponement led to sharp volatility in IEX shares. The stock moved sharply during the session and slipped as much as nearly 8 per cent at one point, as traders and investors reacted to the absence of a clear timeline on the implementation of market coupling.

Market analysts say the issue is significant for IEX, which currently dominates trading volumes in the day-ahead power market. If market coupling is implemented, price discovery would shift to a centralised mechanism, potentially reducing the influence of individual exchanges and altering competitive dynamics in the sector.

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