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India’s GDP to grow 6.5% in FY26

Tax cuts, low interest rates, and strong consumption boost growth, though global trade challenges remain

India’s economy is on track for a healthy growth of 6.5% in the next fiscal year (FY26), according to ratings agency S&P Global, which expects growth to rise slightly to 6.7% in FY27. The agency says a mix of government policies, strong household demand, and a good monsoon are helping keep the economy on a steady path.

S&P highlighted that recent tax relief has given middle-class households more money to spend. The government raised the income tax rebate ceiling from ₹7 lakh to ₹12 lakh, freeing up roughly ₹1 lakh crore in extra spending power. Along with cuts in GST on many goods and a lower interest rate, these steps are encouraging people to buy more and businesses to invest.

The monsoon has also helped, boosting farm incomes and rural spending, which are important for the broader economy. At the same time, inflation is expected to stay low, around 3.2%, meaning people’s money retains its value, supporting further consumption.

While domestic demand is strong, S&P warns that India faces challenges from global trade uncertainties. Rising U.S. tariffs and slow demand from some major economies could affect Indian exporters. Companies that rely heavily on foreign markets might feel the impact if global conditions don’t improve.

S&P also noted that, to maintain long-term growth, India needs to revive investment in infrastructure and industry. Trade deals with major economies, especially the U.S., could help by attracting investment and creating jobs in sectors that export goods and services.

Overall, S&P’s outlook paints a positive picture of India’s economy. Growth is being driven mainly by people spending more at home, supported by government policies and favorable weather. But experts say that keeping the momentum will require a balance between domestic demand and global competitiveness.

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