Categories
Beyond

Gold at ₹1.45 lakh, silver at ₹2.08 lakh

Gold and silver rates remain volatile as festive demand builds, with prices potentially peaking around Dhanteras

Gold and silver prices remain in focus as India enters the festive shopping season, with buyers weighing whether to purchase now or wait for a possible dip. While gold held steady in international trade on October 20, domestic futures came under pressure. Jewellers, meanwhile, expect the usual decline in prices after Navratri may not happen this year, raising the possibility of higher rates around Dhanteras and Diwali.

The latest gold price today, October 20, shows that the precious metal continues to trade at elevated levels despite recent fluctuations. Silver prices have also remained volatile, leaving consumers uncertain about the best time to make festive purchases.

According to market data, domestic spot gold closed at ₹1,45,353 per 10 grams on October 19, while spot silver settled at ₹2,08,380 per kilogram. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), December gold futures fell 0.42% to ₹1,47,300 per 10 grams. Silver futures closed at ₹2,09,825 per kilogram, largely unchanged from the previous session.

In Mumbai, the retail gold rate on October 20 stood at ₹1,44,910 per 10 grams for 24-carat gold and ₹1,32,740 for 22-carat gold. Silver was priced at ₹2,06,527 per kilogram. Rates can vary across cities and jewellery stores, depending on local taxes, demand and other charges.

The difference between gold’s purity levels matters for buyers. Twenty-four-carat gold is considered nearly pure and is commonly used for investment products such as coins and bars. Twenty-two-carat gold, which contains other metals to improve durability, is widely used to make jewellery.

The price movement comes against a changing festive-season pattern. Gold and silver prices have traditionally climbed around Navratri before easing by around 4% to 5% as Dhanteras and Diwali approach. However, jewellers believe the usual correction may be smaller or may not materialise this year.

Gold was priced at ₹1,50,700 per 10 grams over the weekend, while silver stood at ₹2,18,000 per kilogram, according to figures reported by market participants. The recent movement reflects the volatility that has marked the bullion market since July.

The year has already seen sharp swings. Gold began January at ₹1,37,120 per 10 grams and climbed to ₹1,67,275 in March. Silver also recorded a strong rally, reaching ₹2,95,000 per kilogram in March before retreating. Both metals have since moved through periods of gains and losses.

Jewellers attribute the outlook partly to global uncertainty and continued demand from central banks. Economic concerns, geopolitical tensions and changes in currency markets have encouraged investors to seek assets considered relatively safe during periods of uncertainty.

Central banks in several countries have increased their gold holdings as they diversify their reserves. Such purchases can support prices by adding to global demand. Concerns about economic growth, inflation and financial market volatility have also helped sustain interest in precious metals.

However, gold prices are not driven by demand alone. The strength of the US dollar, bond yields and expectations about interest rates can influence international bullion prices. Gold generally becomes less attractive when interest rates rise because it does not pay interest. Conversely, expectations of lower rates can support the metal.

Market participants are now watching the US Federal Reserve’s October-end policy decision for clues about the direction of gold and silver. Any change in expectations about interest rates could trigger further price movements. International gold was trading near $4,147 per ounce in early trade on October 20, while US gold futures edged higher.

A weaker rupee can make imported gold more expensive, even when international prices remain stable. This means domestic prices may not always move in line with global rates.

The outlook for Dhanteras remains uncertain. Some jewellers expect prices to rise again as festive demand strengthens, while others caution that short-term corrections remain possible. Forecasts of a fresh peak should therefore be treated as possibilities rather than certainties.

Consumers planning to buy gold jewellery can compare rates across stores, check the purity and hallmarking details, and account for making charges and applicable taxes. These additional costs can significantly affect the final bill. Buyers considering coins or bars should also compare premiums over the prevailing market rate.

Those purchasing silver should check the quoted price for the required purity and weight. Silver is widely used for coins, utensils, jewellery and gifts during the festive season, but its prices can fluctuate sharply as industrial demand and investor activity change.

With Dhanteras approaching, the decision to buy now or wait will depend on individual budgets and needs. Families purchasing jewellery for a wedding or festival may prefer to plan their spending rather than attempt to predict the market’s next move. Investors, meanwhile, should consider their risk tolerance and investment horizon before making fresh purchases.

The key takeaway is that gold and silver could remain volatile through the festive period. Strong central-bank demand and global uncertainty may provide support, but interest-rate expectations, currency movements and profit-taking can still push prices lower.

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *