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India-EU trade mega deal inches closer

Long-running negotiations enter final stage as both sides bridge gaps on tariffs, agriculture, and climate rules

India and the European Union are close to concluding a comprehensive free trade agreement (FTA), marking a major milestone in bilateral economic relations after years of negotiations. The deal is expected to be announced around the upcoming India-EU Summit on January 27, 2026, subject to formal approvals on both sides, including ratification by the European Parliament.

The proposed pact is among the most ambitious trade agreements pursued by India, covering goods, services, investment, and regulatory cooperation. Bilateral trade between India and the EU stood at an estimated $136–$190 billion in 2024–25, and the agreement is expected to provide a significant boost by lowering tariffs and easing market access for businesses on both sides.

India has taken a cautious approach during the talks, drawing clear red lines around sensitive sectors such as agriculture and dairy to protect domestic producers and rural livelihoods. It has also sought gradual tariff reductions in manufacturing to prevent sudden pressure on local industries, while aiming to attract European investment and strengthen India’s role in global supply chains.

The EU has pushed for wider access for its industrial goods, including automobiles and auto components, as well as greater opportunities in services. Climate-related trade measures have emerged as a key area of negotiation, particularly the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and sustainability standards linked to its Green Deal. India has raised concerns that these measures could function as non-tariff barriers for energy-intensive exports, while the EU maintains they are essential to ensure fair competition and meet climate goals.

If finalised, the agreement is expected to improve export prospects for Indian sectors such as textiles, apparel, leather, engineering goods, and services, while offering European firms a larger and more predictable market in India. The deal also carries strategic weight, coming at a time when global trade is increasingly fragmented and economies are looking to diversify partnerships.

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