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Rupee nears 93 due to West Asia conflict

Rising oil prices and global market uncertainty push Indian currency to record lows and raise inflation concerns

The Indian rupee fell to a record intra-day low against the US dollar on Friday. In early trade, the rupee dropped about 12 paise to around ₹92.37 per dollar in the interbank foreign exchange market. The fall came as investors reacted to tensions in the Middle East, which have pushed crude oil prices higher and created volatility in global markets.

The rise in oil prices has put pressure on the Indian currency because the country imports a large share of its crude oil requirements. As oil becomes more expensive, India’s import bill increases, weakening the rupee and affecting the overall economy.

The fall in the rupee has also raised concerns about inflation. Recent data shows that retail inflation in India has reached a 10-month high. Economists say higher oil prices could increase transportation and production costs, which may lead to higher prices for many goods and services.

A weaker rupee also makes imports such as electronics, fertilisers and machinery more expensive. These higher import costs may eventually be passed on to consumers, increasing the cost of living.

Market experts say global uncertainty caused by the West Asia conflict has reduced investor confidence. During such periods, investors often shift funds to safer assets such as the US dollar, putting pressure on emerging market currencies like the rupee.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is closely monitoring the situation and may step in to stabilise the currency if volatility increases.

Economists warn that if geopolitical tensions continue and oil prices remain high, the rupee could face further pressure. This could also add to inflation risks for the Indian economy.

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