India’s retail inflation rose to 0.71 percent in November, up from a record low of 0.25 percent in October, according to official data released on Thursday. Despite the increase, price pressures remain well below the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) comfort range of 2–6 percent, continuing a rare phase of subdued inflation.
The rise was mainly driven by food and fuel prices, which saw a slower decline compared to the previous month. While overall food prices are still lower than a year ago, the pace at which prices were falling moderated in November, leading to a slight uptick in headline inflation.
Food inflation stayed in negative territory at around minus 3.9 percent, indicating that food items, on average, were cheaper than last year. However, prices of vegetables, eggs, meat, fish and cereals showed some firming compared to October. Fuel and light inflation also edged higher, adding to the increase in the overall consumer price index.
Core inflation, which excludes food and fuel and reflects broader demand conditions, remained largely stable. This suggests that underlying price pressures in the economy are still muted, even as certain categories show early signs of recovery.
Economists say the low inflation reading gives the RBI greater flexibility on monetary policy, especially at a time when growth concerns persist. With inflation consistently staying below the lower end of the target band for several months, expectations of further interest rate cuts have strengthened.
However, experts caution that inflation may gradually rise in the coming months as the favourable base effect fades and demand improves. Seasonal changes, global commodity prices and domestic food supply conditions will play a key role in determining the inflation trajectory.
For now, November’s data reinforces the view that price stability remains intact, offering relief to consumers and policymakers alike. The RBI is expected to closely monitor inflation trends while balancing the need to support economic growth in the months ahead.
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