Shares of Asian Paints tumbled nearly 7% on January 28 after the company reported Q3 net profit of ₹1,060 crore, down 5% YoY, and revenue of ₹8,867 crore, up just 4% YoY. Slower-than-expected demand, a short festive season, and extended monsoon rains hit decorative paint sales.
Brokerages reacted cautiously. Motilal Oswal called the quarter “lacklustre,” warning that recovery in decorative paint demand may be delayed. EBITDA margin guidance remains 18–20%, but earnings forecasts were slightly trimmed.
JM Financial noted decorative paint volume growth at 7.9% and value growth at 2.8%, below expectations, while Citi highlighted ongoing competitive pressures, maintaining a Sell rating.
Despite expectations of mid-single-digit growth ahead, analysts say the gap between volume and value growth may persist. Weak Q3 results and cautious guidance sent the stock to its lowest since October 2025, signaling that India’s paint market recovery may take longer than expected.
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